So what happens now?

[ffutures]

Re Brexit, that is.

My predictions

• Cameron does resign (already confirmed he will according to this morning's news) leaving the Conservatives running the country but in a mess.
• Renewed calls for Scottish and Welsh independence, union of N&S Ireland, etc. - already started. No doubt Cornwall will soon follow.
• Calls for London to become a separate state and remain in the EU - not a snowball's chance in hell, but it's already being talked up.
• UKIP realise they don't actually have a coherent strategy post winning, apart from most of their actual politicians wanting to dump Farage with extreme prejudice.
• The pound declines in value but probably comes up again gradually, but never fully recovers.
• A couple of years of negotiations then a slow withdrawal process over several more years before Britain actually leaves the EU.

Probably a lot I've missed here, but it's going to be an interesting and scary ride.

Comments

[pmcray.livejournal.com]

Federalisation along German lines might lead to a situation where London was institutionally able to cede. But this would take decades and doubt that any meaningful form of federalism or localism is likely to be on the cards.

This is just an unholy slow motion of a mess. I am depressed beyond words.

[ffutures.livejournal.com]

It's a perfect storm of greed and deception. It's going to be an unholy mess, I think.

[pmcray.livejournal.com]

I think a lot of people might looking for a clause now that lets them change their minds within 14 days. Sadly, there isn't one.